Term Paper on "Crisis Humanity Has Not Yet Created"
Term Paper 3 pages (1271 words) Sources: 1+
[EXCERPT] . . . .
CrisisHumanity has not yet created a society model where there would be no poor or needy. So, who should be taking care of them - government, the rich or should they be trying to survive themselves?
The first President to have decided that government should be helping the poor was Franklin Roosevelt. Within his program of overcoming the Great Depression, the Social Security law was adopted. In January 1940, the monthly payments were started. The first check was written out in Ida May Fuller name, a secretary from Wermont. She worked for three years after the law was adopted and retired at the age of 65; during her work she transrfered to the social security system 24 dollars 75 cents. The sum on her first retirement check was 22 dollars 54 cents. Ida lived till 100 years and overall received 22888 dollars 92 cents.
The 2004 Social Security Trustees report shows that the future becomes more and more uncertain for the nation's government run pension system. The program's unfunded obligations grew by 200 billion dollars since the 2003 report. The Social Security Board of Trustees states that currently scheduled benefits cannot be sustainable and today's workers will not get the amount of pensions promised to them today. This led to numerous discussions on Security System collapse and the inevitable crisis. In this essay I will try to recapitulate the main pros and contras on this matter using the definition of crisis from Fern-Banks book (2002) which states that "a crisis is a major occurrence with a potentially negative outcome affecting the organization, company, or industry, as well as its publics, products, services, or good name." will analyze matchi
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Will the present situation have "a potentially negative outcome"? Some mathematics of the "crisis" is as following. Today, reports claim that there will be not enough inflows in the fund to provide retirement payments in the year 2042. Different researches use different estimations of the economy, dollar exchange rate, retirement rates and so on, give different figures. Estimates suggest that these liabilities unfunded can climb as high as up to 10.4 trillion dollars, or 3.7 trillion of today dollars over the next 75 years.
In 2005, the surplus from the cash flows paid by currently working employees will account at about 180 million dollars, but will decrease gradually. At 2018, the social security benefits will start exceeding revenues, but using this built-up surplus, the situation will not be dramatical. So, the problems should not start until the year of 2042. The problems might occur when in about 2010-2015 the baby-boomers will start retire and the payments to provide decent living for them will be enormous. This problem is even worsened the by declining childbirth rate, increase in the average life expectancy, thus giving ground to predict that in some future the amount of people working will be much less than the number of people on retirement.
After the year of 2042, the Social Security Fund will not be bankrupt; it will still be able to pay out pensions to up to 75% of the promised liabilities. But of course, we cannot wait till 2042. If the proper actions are taken already now, this shortfall can be avoided. As the author of the article "Social Security Privatization as the Mother of All Con-Man Smoke-and-Mirrors Shell-Games," Nouriel Roubini, states "if we start today to increase payroll contributions (and/or reduce future benefits for current young workers and/(or change the retirement age) we need… READ MORE
Quoted Instructions for "Crisis Humanity Has Not Yet Created" Assignment:
Using information from newspapers and journals, explain whether the status of social security constitutes a "crisis".
Please use “Crisis” definition from book (Fern-Banks (2002) “ a crisis is a major occurrence with a potentially negative outcome affecting the organization,
company, or industry, as well as its ublics, products, services, or good name”)not from dictionary.
Other sources may be used (journals/newspaper)appropriately.
essay must be 3 paragraphs
Please included article attached and other resources in bibliography.
PLEASE NOTE: COPY OF DOCUMENT (ARTICLE WILL BE EMAILED ALSO.
Semantics Shape Social Security Debate; Democrats Assail 'Crisis' While GOP
Gives 'Privatization' a 'Personal' Twist; [FINAL Edition]
Mike Allen. The Washington Post. Washington, D.C.: Jan 23, 2005. pg. A.04
Author(s): Mike Allen
Section: A SECTION
Publication title: The Washington Post. Washington, D.C.: Jan 23, 2005. pg.
A.04
Source type: Newspaper
ISSN/ISBN: 01908286
ProQuest document ID: 782721511
Text Word Count 986
Abstract (Document Summary)
So [Bush] and his supporters have started using "personal accounts" instead of
"private accounts" to refer to his plan to let younger workers invest part of
their payroll taxes in stocks and bonds. Republican officials have begun calling
journalists to complain about references to "private accounts," even though Bush
called them that three times in a speech last fall.
"Semantics are very important," House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Bill
Thomas (R-Calif.)said last week when a reporter asked about "private" accounts.
"They're personal accounts, not private accounts. No one is advocating
privatizing Social Security."
The other area undergoing a semantic makeover is the financial threat to the
system. Bush said in his news conference before Christmas that "the crisis is
here," and asserted in a recent radio address that the system is "on the road to
bankruptcy." Although it will be at least a decade before the Social Security
system begins to pay out more in benefits than it collects in payroll taxes,
Vice President Cheney recently asserted that the system "is on a course to
eventual bankruptcy," while White House budget director Joshua B. Bolten said
the situation "is a crisis."
Full Text (986 words)
Copyright The Washington Post Company Jan 23, 2005
President Bush is trying to keep the word "private" from going public.
As the two parties brace for the coming debate over restructuring Social
Security, polls and focus groups for both sides have shown that voters --
especially older ones, who vote in disproportionately heavy numbers -- distrust
any change that has the word "private" attached to it.
The White House has a logical idea: Don't use the word. This is difficult
because, after all, they would be "private" accounts, and Bush's plan would
"partially privatize" Social Security.
So Bush and his supporters have started using "personal accounts" instead of
"private accounts" to refer to his plan to let younger workers invest part of
their payroll taxes in stocks and bonds. Republican officials have begun calling
journalists to complain about references to "private accounts," even though Bush
called them that three times in a speech last fall.
"Semantics are very important," House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Bill
Thomas (R-Calif.)said last week when a reporter asked about "private" accounts.
"They're personal accounts, not private accounts. No one is advocating
privatizing Social Security."
"Don't dismiss the use of a word," Thomas added. "The use of a word is critical
in making law."
Democrats have their own linguistic problem: They want to banish the term
"crisis." Democratic Party leaders are urging members to discuss future Social
Security shortfalls as a "challenge" rather than a crisis, and assert that Bush
is trying to manufacture a crisis to justify making changes that many Democrats
say are unnecessary. The White House has fired back with a transcript showing
that President Bill *****, during a Georgetown University address in 1998,
spoke of "the looming fiscal crisis in Social Security."
Republican officials also circulated a quote from the late senator Daniel
Patrick Moynihan (D-N.Y.), chairman of a Bush- appointed commission on Social
Security, who in 2000 called privatization "a scare word."
The battle over the vocabulary of restructuring Social Security is the latest
example of the lengths to which politicians and their consultants go to test and
refine wording in an era when so many voters are influenced by the sound bites
in television newscasts. Both sides have commissioned expensive research to
guide their word choice as they prepare their cases.
The president's plan would allow younger Americans to divert a third or more of
their payroll taxes into private investment accounts to enhance their long-term
benefits.
Pollsters on both sides of the Social Security debate said they believe that
semantics could be destiny, given the skittishness of lawmakers and voters about
changing the popular system, which will turn 70 on Aug.14.
Michael D. Tanner, director of the Social Security project at the libertarian
Cato Institute, said "the term 'privatization' always polls about 20 points
lower than a description of it." "The problem is that there is no good term,"
Tanner said. "People have tried 'modernization' and 'personalization.' They all
sink like a rock."
Reflecting the new premium being placed on language, Bush turned prickly a week
ago Friday during an interview with The Washington Post aboard Air Force One
when he was asked if he would talk to Senate Democrats about his "privatization
plan."
"You mean the personal savings accounts?" the president scolded. "We don't want
to be editorializing, at least in the questions."
Bush generally refers to "personal accounts" but said during a September speech
at a Republican fundraiser in Washington that he wanted to offer younger workers
"a private account that they can call their own, a private account they can pass
on to the next generation, and a private account that government can't take
away."
Republican officials began warning their congressional candidates against using
any form of the word "private" in 2002, when Democrats seized on it to argue
that the addition of individual investment accounts to Social Security would
jeopardize the nation's safety net.
Republicans have not always resisted the term. Cato, an early champion of adding
individually controlled accounts to Social Security, started a policy incubator
called the "Project on Social Security Privatization" in 1995. After complaints
from Republican leaders, the name was changed in 2002 to the "Project on Social
Security Choice."
The other area undergoing a semantic makeover is the financial threat to the
system. Bush said in his news conference before Christmas that "the crisis is
here," and asserted in a recent radio address that the system is "on the road to
bankruptcy." Although it will be at least a decade before the Social Security
system begins to pay out more in benefits than it collects in payroll taxes,
Vice President Cheney recently asserted that the system "is on a course to
eventual bankruptcy," while White House budget director Joshua B. Bolten said
the situation "is a crisis."
Bill McInturff, a Republican pollster, said such terminology is important,
because "to develop support for major social change, the status quo has to be
scarier than the change."
McInturff said the power of language in shaping public opinion on the question
can be seen in polls he conducted last year. A majority of respondents said they
wanted to keep the system basically the same when asked about allowing "people
to invest some of their Social Security taxes in private accounts." But a
majority favored change when he added the phrase "like IRAs or 401(k)s."
"It's important that the change be connected back to something familiar," he
said.
Geoffrey Garin, a Democratic pollster, said any form of the word "private"
suggests "a radical change to Social Security."
"People have seen lots of risks and rip-offs occur, and the virtue of Social
Security is that it has been a . . . very reliable system for a very long time,"
Garin said.
So, according to Garin, Democrats will "do everything they can to force
Republicans to live with the language of privatization."
"The debate will be a test of wills over what we call this thing," he said.
How to Reference "Crisis Humanity Has Not Yet Created" Term Paper in a Bibliography
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